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How To Create A Simple But Accurate Forex Trading System
By: Gregory DeVictor
The foreign exchange market, or Forex market, is an around-the-clock cash market where the currencies of nations are bought and sold. The value of your Forex investment increases or decreases because of changes in the currency exchange rate or Forex rate. These changes can occur at any time, and often result from economic and political events. The purpose of this article is to present Forex trading system strategies from some of the world's trading greats.
Do Not Play With Your Trading Losses: According to William Eckhardt, These evidently instinctive human tendencies spell doom for the trader - take your profits, but play with your losses.
Good Money Management Alone Is Not Enough: According to Monroe Trout, Good Money Management alone isn't going to increase your edge at all. If your system isn't any good, you're still going to lose money, no matter how effective your money management rules are. But if you have an approach that makes money, then money management can make the difference between success and failure.
Don't Optimize Trading Size: According to William Eckhardt, Trading Size is one aspect you don't want to optimize. The optimum comes just before the precipice.
Do Not Play Catch Up: According to Richard Dennis, I learned to avoid trying to catch up or double up to recoup losses. I also learned that a certain amount of loss will affect your judgment, so you have to put some time between that loss and the next trade.
Trade Small: According to Mark Ritchie, I think it's generally a good idea that when you put on a trade, it should be so small that it seems almost a waste of your time. Always trade at a level that seems too small.
Do Not Override Your System Too Often: According to William Eckhardt, You should try to express your enthusiasm and ingenuity by doing research at night, not by overriding your system during the day. Overriding is something you should do only in unexpected circumstances - and then only with great forethought. If you find yourself overriding routinely, it's a sure sign that there's something that you want in the system that hasn't been included.
It Is A Skill You Can Learn: According to Michael Marcus, I think to be in the upper echelon of successful traders requires an innate skill, a gift. It's just like being a great violinist. But to be a competent trader and make money is a skill you can learn.
Courage: According to Bill Lipschutz, It is not enough to simply have the insight to see something apart from the rest of the crowd, you also need to have the courage to act on it and to stay with it. It's very difficult to be different from the rest of the crowd the majority of the time, which by definition is what you are doing if you are a successful trader.
Not Losing Money: According to Linda Bradford Raschke, The good traders are the ones who can hold their ground the majority of the month and participate in that small handful of trades that are windfalls. The real skill is in not LOSING money!
Trading Forex on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
Gregory DeVictor is a consultant who has been developing and marketing web sites since 1999. Learn more at: www.forex-trading-system.name
Quick Forex Ideasforex trading signals
A Forex system is a weapon of a soldier in this market. You must have one as soon as possible. Otherwise, it will be like fighting well-armed Forex robbers with a handbag. Best one is a self-made one because you can never feel comfy in borrowed shoes although borrowing good ideas from others is a good idea. Good luck.
One cannot make a dime unless follow the herd or trend most of the time. It is just that one has to be cautious when overbought/oversold region is approaching and know how to turn at inflection point for the opposite trend. Following herd needs average intelligence and courage but identifying inflection points and taking a necessary action needs not only intelligence but also a lot of courage. Again, fortune favors the brave.
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When the rate changes (an average daily change of Euro is about 70 to 100 pips), you close the position and sell the Euro for dollars, but at the rate of 0.9292. You get 109,146. 47*0.9292 =101,418.89 dollars. Your profit is $ 1,418.89. The same transaction with leverage 1:200 would give you $2, 837.78 of profit, with leverage 1:50 the profit would be 709.45, with leverage 1:25 - 354.72.
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USING CROSSES AND GOLD
EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY have a value as the leading indicators of EUR/USD and USD/JPY moves. EUR/CHF is similar to EUR/GBP in forecasting value but stopped trading and looking at it a long ago after experiencing difficulties in running good sized positions there.
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More Global Forex InfoTokyo stocks tumbleMon, 10 Mar 2008 13:35:35 EDT
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That said, the foreign currency trading market is a very lucrative one if you get in on the right foot and with a broker that knows his or her stuff, as it were. Taking the time to find a reputable brokerage firm can make all the different when it comes to diving in to the foreign currency market.
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Once Soros of Quantum Fund hit the nail on the head with his theory of reflexivity in the market and that is exactly how these players work in the market. That rather romantic tool of daily candlestick chart is useful because whenever some players start positioning to start or stop short-term moves in Yen market, say several hundred pips, for whatever reasons, it reveals their intention to the market, more often than not. It sounds so weird to say tens of yards are spent relying on indicators so primitive like hand-drawn candlestick charts, but that is the truth in Yen market. Same as millions of soldiers risking their lives depending on how their generals draw up the battle plan with their cheap red and blue pencils in their operation room desk. Crazy world, I would say, but that is the fact. And as you say, battle is a battle and those ones who make their first move with their candlestick may not always win either.
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Moreover, Forex day trading has superior liquidity. The foreign currency exchange market is the largest financial market in the world. This results in fair prices and narrow spreads. Stock liquidity is reduced after regular trading hours. Foreign exchange trading does not exhibit this problem because the currency market is open around the clock. Not only just the liquidity and round the clock market, but due to electronic Forex day trading instant entries and exits are coupled with trading globally.
All The Latest News From The Easy Forex WorldDow Jones buys Dutch news serviceMon, 10 Mar 2008 15:12:06 EDT
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Why you need to develop your own forex trading system
There are many forex trading systems and trading strategies out there. There are many free ones printed in forex trading articles, journals, books and on trading-related websites. You can buy them as software or you can subscribe to them periodically.
Novice traders say they do not have the time, the aptitude, the talent nor the brains to work out how to trade properly. They would rather purchase a program or subscribe to a forex trading system for hundreds - or in some cases - thousands of dollars. They say they do not have to do anything except be told what to buy, when to buy and how much of it you need to buy. Some ask me if this strategy or approach is advisable for trading the forex markets. To answer this question, I am then forced to consider the advantages and disadvantages of using such an approach to trading.
There are reasons why a trader would use a forex trading system or forex trading strategy that someone else developed and tested:
1. It is easy. A novice trader does not need to study how the forex market works and how he interacts with that market. He does not need to educate himself: he does not need to bother with books and seminars. He does not need to test the trading system, since the seller has already done that for him and reported promising hypothetical or actual results.
2. A novice trader hopes to get a forex trading system at a �bargain� price... sometimes even for free.
Hazards of trading a forex system or strategy developed and tested by someone else are the following:
1. Faulty Trading Systems
There are many faulty forex systems out there. They may be faulty because their assumptions and their mechanisms may no longer be true, accurate or valid. As a novice trader, how can you distinguish between the good systems and the bad systems if you don�t know how trading systems are built?
2. Discipline and confidence
All systems have drawdown periods. Some good forex trading systems may not make money for six months or an entire year. Even if it was a good system, can you continue to follow it even if it gives you a loss after a loss after a loss? How can you follow it if you do not have confidence in it? How can you be confident if you do not know the ins and outs of the system and if you have not tested it yourself?
I do not believe that people would blindly follow a system even if they were told that it would bring them riches. I can give someone a forex trading system, I can supply him with exceptional hypothetical or actual results and still, he would not be able to follow it.
I remember giving my dad a fully-mechanical forex trading system I developed. I told him a few simple rules and I told him not to question them. All he had to do was to follow them. We both traded it for two months, I grew my small account by roughly 50% (it happened to be a good two months), but he was losing. He wondered why. I asked to see his trading records. When I looked at his trading records, I found that he kept disobeying the rules. When I asked him why he disobeyed them, he wanted to improve the results after it had a couple of losing trades. He was trying to improve the results. According to him, the system asked him to do what he thought was not right during certain market conditions, so he did not follow it.
To overcome the hazards above, I see no way except for a trader to learn how to develop his own trading system. This is the only way a trader can know if a particular trading system or strategy is good or not.
Once a trader learns how to develop forex trading systems and strategies, he can then be better equipped to test them as well. By this point he might even find that he is better off using the system he created, because it becomes increasingly difficult to find another system more suited to his profit objectives while operating within his risk tolerance levels. It is likely that once he develops this level of competence, he will simply acquire other systems only to dissect them, grab the parts he likes and add them to his own system. To me, the irony is that for a trader to know which system to purchase, he must first learn how to create a system. And after knowing how to create a trading system, he will no longer have the need to buy one.
In conclusion then, I would have to say that if you are not inclined to learn how to develop your own trading methodology, then perhaps you should consider giving your money for someone else to invest. Give it to someone who is trading a system that he developed and tested himself because he is more likely to have the confidence and courage to follow his own set of rules.
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More Thoughts On Forexforex rates
For the last three decades Foreign Exchange market, - briefly Forex or FX, had integrated into the world's biggest financial market. The volume of daily transactions is about 1-3 trillion of US dollars. The trading instruments on this market are the currencies of different countries, so the fluctuation of currency's rates allows to gain a real profit.
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Let�s take a concrete example of getting a profit from the changing the rate of the Euro, from 0,9162 to 0,9292. If you have anticipated this change by using technical or fundamental analysis, you can buy the Euro cheaper for dollars, and then sell it back at a higher price. For example, if you choose leverage 1:100, then 99,000 dollars of the credit line, granted by the Internet broker, is added to 1000 dollars, and you buy the Euro at the price of 0.9162. As a result of this transaction we get: $ 100,000 / 0.9162 = Euro 109.146, 47.
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The more questions you ask, the more you�ll educate yourself about all aspects of foreign currency trading. It can be useful to subscribe to some electronic forex publications as well. With ongoing education and networking, you�ll soon be trading like a pro
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New Zealand Dollar Long Entry Offers Opportunity to Benefit from High YieldFri, 07 Mar 2008 21:33:53 -0500
Our suggested NZDUSD long position is one that we recommended yesterday on DailyFX+, and given the drop in Kiwi on Friday, the trade looks even better...
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